Championship
Coventry
Feb 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
Middlesbrough
  • Haji Wright 21' goal
  • Haji Wright 55' goal
  • Josh Eccles 68' yellowcard
  • Josh Eccles 69' yellowcard
  • Romain Esse 69' yellowcard
  • Haji Wright 71' yellowcard
  • Victor Torp 75' yellowcard
  • Jahnoah Guevara Markelo 82' yellowcard
  • Ellis Simms 82' yellowcard
  • Jahnoah Markelo 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Strelec 59'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 59'
  • goal Riley McGree 67'
  • yellowcard Kaly Sene 81'
  • yellowcard Kaly Sène 81'
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sontje Hansen 90'+2'

Coventry City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Coventry 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Ellis Simms

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 8.01pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Coventry City 46.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 22.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Middlesbrough 31.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 57.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 42.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.54% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Coventry City 36.4%
Draw 38.12%
Middlesbrough 25.47%

Team To Score First

Coventry City 54.7% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 4.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Middlesbrough 40.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.39%
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 30.92%
Over 9 45.5%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 42.61%
Over 10.5 34.44%
Under 10.5 65.56%

Coventry City Goals

Over 1.5 47.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 13.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Coventry City 46.06%
Draw 22.93%
Middlesbrough 31.04%
Coventry City
2-1 @ 9.64%
1-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 46.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.93%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 31.04%

Head to Head

Championship
Middlesbrough
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Coventry
  • Morgan Whittaker 32' goal
  • Bobby Thomas 49' goal
  • goal Ellis Simms 10'
  • goal Liam Kitching 14'
  • goal Liam Kitching 85'
  • goal Ellis Simms 86'
Championship Gameweek 46
Coventry
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
Middlesbrough
  • Jack Rudoni 44' goal
  • Ben Sheaf 74' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Rudoni 87' goal
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 17'
Championship Gameweek 13
Middlesbrough
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Coventry
  • Hayden Hackney 12' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 22' redcard
  • George Edmundson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Rudoni 25'
  • yellowcard Brandon Thomas-Asante 33'
  • goal Brandon Thomas-Asante 42'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 45'+1'
  • goal Haji Wright 76'
  • goal Josh Eccles 81'
Championship Gameweek 26
Middlesbrough
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Coventry
  • Josh Coburn 31' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 67' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 34'
  • goal Haji Wright 58'
  • yellowcard Josh Eccles 65'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 69'
  • yellowcard Haji Wright 82'
Championship Gameweek 2
Coventry
Aug 12, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
Middlesbrough
  • Matt Godden 11' goal
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 47' yellowcard
  • Haji Wright 70' goal
  • Darragh Lenihan 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Carrick 31'+31'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 81'
Championship
Middlesbrough
May 17, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Coventry
  • goal Gustavo Hamer 57'

Form Data

Coventry 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
QPR 2 - 1 Coventry
Norwich 2 - 1 Coventry
Coventry 2 - 1 Millwall
Coventry 2 - 1 Leicester
Stoke 0 - 0 Coventry
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Norwich
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Preston
Stoke 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
West Brom 2 - 3 Middlesbrough
Fulham 0 - 0 Middlesbrough