Championship
Middlesbrough
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Hayden Hackney 17' goal
  • Alex Gilbert 62' yellowcard
  • Dael Fry 71' yellowcard
  • David Strelec 71' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Kvistgaarden 59'
  • yellowcard Oscar Schwartau 59'
  • yellowcard Matej Jurasek 82'

Middlesbrough vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 8.00pm
Norwich 2 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jovon Makama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 52.66% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 22.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Norwich City 24.63% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 79% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 21% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 55.6% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 44.4% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 33.13% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 66.87% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 4.5 19.62% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 80.38% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 46.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 35.42% ▼ (-0.16)
Norwich City 18.09% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 61.93% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 5.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Norwich City 32.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 26.03% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 52.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 36.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 41.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 10.5 58.12% ▼ (-0.09)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 51.68% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 48.32% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 25.11% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 74.89% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.16)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 28.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 71.44% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 90.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 52.67%
Draw 22.73%
Norwich City 24.64%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.73%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head

Championship
Norwich
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Middlesbrough
Championship Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Samuel Iling-Junior 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 45'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 12
Norwich
Oct 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Borja Sainz 8' goal
  • Anis Ben Slimane 59' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 71' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 74' yellowcard
  • Timothy Dieng 80' goal
  • Kenny McLean 87' redcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 13'
  • yellowcard Aidan Morris 23'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 25'
  • goal Tommy Conway 40'
  • goal Finn Azaz 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 70'
Championship Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Marcus Forss 20' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 37' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 43' goal
  • Lukas Engel 62' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 17'
  • redcard Borja Sainz 30'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 47'
Championship Gameweek 13
Norwich
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Gabriel Sara 76' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+9' goal
  • goal Sam Greenwood 46'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 89'
  • goal Sam Silvera 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Timothy Dieng 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' goal
  • Hayden Hackney 41' goal
  • Cameron Archer 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 49' goal
  • Cameron Archer 45'+6' goal
  • goal Joshua Sargent 45'

Form Data

Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Preston
Stoke 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
West Brom 2 - 3 Middlesbrough
Fulham 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Southampton
Derby 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Norwich 2 - 1 Coventry
West Brom 0 - 5 Norwich
Wrexham 1 - 2 Norwich
Norwich 0 - 0 Walsall
Norwich 0 - 2 Stoke
QPR 1 - 2 Norwich