Championship Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 8.00pm
Norwich 2 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jovon Makama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Norwich City has a probability of 24.93% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Norwich City win is 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11%).

Result

Middlesbrough 52.27% (-0.05)
Draw 22.8% (+0.02)
Norwich City 24.93% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.3% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.26% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.84% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.16% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.43% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 46.43% (-0.04)
Draw 35.55% (+0.01)
Norwich City 18.02% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 61.86% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.32% (+0.03)
Norwich City 32.82% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.48% (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 26.21% (+0.07)
Over 9 52.52% (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 36.52% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 41.76% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 58.24% (+0.06)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 51.19% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 24.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.98%
Under 3.5 90.02%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 61.52% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.48% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.63%
Under 1.5 71.37%
Over 2.5 9.76% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75%
Under 3.5 97.25%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 52.27%
Draw 22.8%
Norwich City 24.93%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.96%
Total : 52.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 22.8%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 24.93%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Samuel Iling-Junior 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 45'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Carrow Road
  • Borja Sainz 8' goal
  • Anis Ben Slimane 59' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 71' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 74' yellowcard
  • Timothy Dieng 80' goal
  • Kenny McLean 87' redcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 13'
  • yellowcard Aidan Morris 23'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 25'
  • goal Tommy Conway 40'
  • goal Finn Azaz 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 70'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Marcus Forss 20' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 37' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 43' goal
  • Lukas Engel 62' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 17'
  • redcard Borja Sainz 30'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 47'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Gabriel Sara 76' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+9' goal
  • goal Sam Greenwood 46'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 89'
  • goal Sam Silvera 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Timothy Dieng 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' goal
  • Hayden Hackney 41' goal
  • Cameron Archer 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 49' goal
  • Cameron Archer 45'+6' goal
  • goal Joshua Sargent 45'