Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.