Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Charlton 1 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Leicester 3 - 4 Southampton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan James

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Leicester City has a probability of 33.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Leicester City win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Stoke City 40.98% (+0.01)
Draw 25.91% (+0.02)
Leicester City 33.12% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.26%
Under 2.5 47.74%
Over 3.5 29.99% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.01% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 33.99%
Draw 42.24%
Leicester City 23.78%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 52.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.36% (-0.01)
Leicester City 40.85%

Corners

Over 8 59.6%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 28.84%
Over 9 47.64%
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 40.4%
Over 10.5 36.34%
Under 10.5 63.66%

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 40.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.54%
Under 2.5 82.46%
Over 3.5 5.89%
Under 3.5 94.11%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 68.46% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.54% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.68% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.32% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.52%
Under 3.5 95.48%

Score analysis

Stoke City 40.98%
Draw 25.91%
Leicester City 33.11%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 5.69%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.91%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 33.11%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Mehdi Leris 26' yellowcard
  • Joon-Ho Bae 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 90' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Patson Daka 26'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 30'
  • yellowcard Kasey McAteer 40'
  • yellowcard Stephy Mavididi 42'
  • goal Patson Daka 66'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 73'
  • yellowcard James Justin 90'+5'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 79' goal
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'
FA Cup
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Batth 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 28'
  • goal James Justin 34'
  • goal Marc Albrighton 59'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 79'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 81'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Powell 70' goal
  • goal Marc Albrighton 60'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 84'
Premier League
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Albrighton 18' yellowcard
  • Jack Butland 70' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 9'
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 23'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 44'
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 82'