Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Lamine Cissé 36' goal
  • Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 57' goal
  • Jun-ho Bae 70' yellowcard
  • Tatsuki Seko 78' yellowcard
  • Milan Smit 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ciaron Maurice Brown 44'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 46'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 66'
  • yellowcard Nik Prelec 66'
  • yellowcard Yunus Konak 66'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 83'

Stoke City vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 2 - 2 Leicester
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 44.62% (+0.11)
Draw 28.25% (-0.02)
Oxford United 27.13% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.24% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.75% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.25% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 41.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.71% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 79.29% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.66% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.34% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 34.49% (+0.02)
Draw 45.32%
Oxford United 20.19% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 54.96% (+0.07)
No Goal 9.92% (-0.02)
Oxford United 35.12% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.62% (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.68% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.71% (-0.08)
Over 9 52.22% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.38% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 41.07% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 58.93% (-0.10)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 37.92% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.08% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.91% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.09% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.79% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.21% (-0.07)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 60.13% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 39.87% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 24.93% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 75.07% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.54% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.46% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 44.62%
Draw 28.24%
Oxford United 27.14%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.13% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.76% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.71% (+0.05)
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 28.24%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 27.14%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Michael Rose 46' yellowcard
  • Enda Stevens 76' yellowcard
  • Nathan Lowe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Bradshaw 39'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 81'
  • yellowcard Alex Matos 90'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Idris El Mizouni 48' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 79'