Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Riley McGree 60' yellowcard
  • Kaly Sène 75' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbert 75' yellowcard
  • Alan Browne 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Paul Donley 57'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 57'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 57'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 57'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 58'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 58'
  • yellowcard Michal Helik 87'

Middlesbrough vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 8.00pm
Coventry 3 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 3 Norwich
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 66.89% (+0.04)
Draw 20.7% (+0.01)
Oxford United 12.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.86% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.34% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.66% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.82% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 50.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.96% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.31% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.69% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 48.95%
Draw 37.24%
Oxford United 13.81%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 70.14% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.14% (+0.03)
Oxford United 22.72% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.85% (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.49% (-0.03)
Over 9 57.2% (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.65% (-0.01)
Under 9 32.15% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 46.38% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 53.62% (-0.04)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 57.72% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.28% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 31.17% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 68.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 85.89% (-0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 43.85% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 56.15% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 13.66% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 86.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.17% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.64%
Under 3.5 99.36%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 66.89%
Draw 20.69%
Oxford United 12.46%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 13.72% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 13%
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.03% (+0.01)
Total : 66.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 20.69%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 4.84% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 12.46%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 48' goal
  • Neto Borges 80' goal
  • goal Michal Helik 38'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 58'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 87'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
6
HT : 1 3
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Gregory Leigh 24' goal
  • Elliott Moore 35' yellowcard
  • Dane Scarlett 72' goal
  • yellowcard Finn Azaz 27'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 37'
  • goal Finn Azaz 42'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 45'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 49'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 60'
  • goal Tommy Conway 80'
  • goal Finn Azaz 83'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 90'+3'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Nora
FA Cup
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Grant Leadbitter 26' goal
  • Rudy Gestede 34' goal
  • Daniel Ayala 62' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 71' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 86' goal
  • Alvaro Negredo 92' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Maguire 64'
  • goal Antonio Martinez 66'
  • yellowcard Ryan Ledson 76'
  • yellowcard Marvin Johnson 94'