Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.