Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.