Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.