Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (11.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.