Championship
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 6' goal
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 13' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 59' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 59' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 60' yellowcard
  • Kuryu Matsuki 77' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Oyekunle 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joshua Quarshie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Paul Donley 70'
  • yellowcard Jamie Carson McDonnell 70'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 77'
  • yellowcard Jin-woo Jeon 77'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 88'

Southampton vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 1 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.95% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 60.12%
Draw 23.95%
Oxford United 15.9% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.13% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 29.15% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.63%
Under 2.5 54.37%
Over 3.5 24.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.41% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.42%
Under 4.5 85.58%

First Half Winner

Southampton 39.65%
Draw 41.31%
Oxford United 19.04%

Team To Score First

Southampton 60.63%
No Goal 8.45%
Oxford United 30.92%

Corners

Over 8 71.86% (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.11%
Under 8 19.04% (-0.02)
Over 9 61.47% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.39% (+0.01)
Under 9 28.14% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 50.59% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 49.41% (-0.04)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 50.92%
Under 1.5 49.08%
Over 2.5 24.59%
Under 2.5 75.41%
Over 3.5 9.52%
Under 3.5 90.48%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 48.94% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 51.06% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 16.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.38% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.13%
Under 2.5 95.87%
Over 3.5 0.92%
Under 3.5 99.08%

Score analysis

Southampton 60.11%
Draw 23.95%
Oxford United 15.9%
Southampton
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 9.47%
Total : 60.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 23.95%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 15.9%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brodie Spencer 8' yellowcard
  • Tyler Goodrham 23' goal
  • Stanley Mills 89' goal
  • Stanley Mills 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • goal Taylor Harwood-Bellis 29'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 37'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Mark Harris 35' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 43' goal