Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.