Championship Gameweek 35
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 2 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 8.00pm
Blackburn 1 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 35.92% and a draw has a probability of 27.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win is 0-1 (10.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Derby County 36.25%
Draw 27.83%
Blackburn Rovers 35.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.71%
Under 1.5 30.29%
Over 2.5 44.76%
Under 2.5 55.24%
Over 3.5 23.69%
Under 3.5 76.31%
Over 4.5 12.52%
Under 4.5 87.48%

First Half Winner

Derby County 26.44%
Draw 47.1%
Blackburn Rovers 26.46%

Team To Score First

Derby County 46.78%
No Goal 8.96%
Blackburn Rovers 44.26%

Corners

Over 8 59.61%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 28.92%
Over 9 47.74%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 40.39%
Over 10.5 36.51%
Under 10.5 63.49%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 33.46%
Under 1.5 66.54%
Over 2.5 12.35%
Under 2.5 87.65%
Over 3.5 3.62%
Under 3.5 96.38%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.96%
Under 0.5 32.04%
Over 1.5 33.67%
Under 1.5 66.33%
Over 2.5 12.47%
Under 2.5 87.53%
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Derby County 36.27%
Draw 27.82%
Blackburn Rovers 35.93%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 36.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.82%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Craig Forsyth 3' goal
  • Ebou Adams 7' goal
  • Harrison Armegang 70' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 74' yellowcard
  • Matt Clarke 86' yellowcard
  • goal Makhtar Gueye 40'
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 42'
  • yellowcard Sondre Tronstad 81'
  • yellowcard Hayden Carter 84'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 19' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 72' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 76' goal
  • Yuki Ohashi 84' goal
  • Tyrhys Dolan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Barkhuizen 11'
  • goal Curtis Nelson 67'
  • yellowcard James Collins 82'
  • goal Kane Wilson 88'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 89'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Wharton 53' goal
  • Tyrhys Dolan 59' goal
  • Lewis Travis 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ravel Morrison 28'
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 67'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Graeme Shinnie 29' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 50' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 89' goal
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 8'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 20'
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 59'
  • yellowcard John Buckley 85'
  • yellowcard Reda Khadra 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Poveda 89'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Lewis Holtby 32' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 42' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 66' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 67' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 22'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 45'+1'