/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fblalog.png)
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Ben Brereton Díaz
55'
-
Rhian Brewster
62'
-
Matt Clarke
74'
-
David Ozoh
80'
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Rhian Brewster
82'
-
Craig Forsyth
87'
-
Oscar Fraulo
87'
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Hayden Carter
45'+1'
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Kristi Montgomery
56'
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Mathias Jørgensen
69'
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Harry Pickering
69'
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Taylor Gardner-Hickman
80'
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Dion De Neve
80'
Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
35.21%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
27.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Blackburn Rovers
37.09%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
50.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
30.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
44.77%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
55.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
23.61%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
76.39%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
12.48%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
87.52%
▲
(+0.09)
First Half Winner
Derby County
26.44%
Draw
47.1%
Blackburn Rovers
26.46%
Team To Score First
Derby County
46.78%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
8.97%
▲
(+0.06)
Blackburn Rovers
44.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
59.59%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
11.43%
Under 8
28.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
47.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
11.82%
Under 9
40.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
36.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 10.5
63.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
32.5%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
67.5%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
11.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
88.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
3.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
96.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
68.62%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
31.38%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
34.64%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
65.36%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
13.11%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
86.89%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
4.09%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
95.91%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Derby County
35.21%
Draw
27.71%
Blackburn Rovers
37.09%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.79%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.21%
2-1 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.21%
Draw
1-1
@
12.77%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.71%
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.71%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1
@
10.48%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 37.09%
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 37.09%