/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhullog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Callum Elder
9'
-
Oliver McBurnie
39'
-
Cody Drameh
53'
-
John Egan
75'
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Patrick James Coleman McNair
81'
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Lewis Koumas
82'
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Patrick James Coleman McNair
82'
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Lewis Koumas
84'
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Kieran Dowell
90'
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Craig Forsyth
17'
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Sammie Szmodics
42'
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Joe Ward
45'
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Joe Ward
46'
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Rhian Brewster
79'
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Carlton Morris
79'
Hull City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).
Result
Hull City
33.49%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
25.77%
▲
(+0.06)
Derby County
40.7%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
53.27%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.85%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
26.15%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 2.5
50.18%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
49.82%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
27.95%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
72.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
15.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
84.48%
▲
(+0.13)
First Half Winner
Hull City
26.15%
Draw
43%
Derby County
30.85%
Team To Score First
Hull City
45.09%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
7.4%
▲
(+0.05)
Derby County
47.51%
Corners
Over 8
60.61%
▼
(-0.10)
Equal 8
11.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
28.26%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 9
49.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Equal 9
11.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
39.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 10.5
37.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 10.5
62.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Hull City Goals
Over 1.5
33.39%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
66.61%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
12.54%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
87.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
3.71%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
72.12%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
27.88%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
40.04%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
59.96%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 2.5
16.79%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
83.21%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
6.05%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
93.95%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Hull City
33.49%
Draw
25.77%
Derby County
40.71%
Hull City
1-0
@
9.17%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.49%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.49%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.77%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.77%
Derby County
0-1
@
9.55%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 40.71%
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 40.71%