Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.15% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.