Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.