Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.