Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.