Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.