Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Carrow Road

Norwich City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jovon Makama

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
Birmingham 0 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Demarai Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 34.84% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Norwich City 39.98% (-0.10)
Draw 25.18%
Birmingham City 34.84% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.08% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.38% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.83%
Under 2.5 42.17%
Over 3.5 36.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 63.46% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.4% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 31.03% (-0.11)
Draw 43.06% (+0.04)
Birmingham City 25.91% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 48.02% (-0.34)
No Goal 5.76%
Birmingham City 46.22% (+0.34)

Corners

Over 8 58.23% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.95% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.82% (-0.04)
Over 9 45.99% (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 41.77% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.55% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.45% (-0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 43.61% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 56.39% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 20.61% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.87% (+0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 29.69% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 39.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.45% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.55% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.51% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Norwich City 39.98%
Draw 25.18%
Birmingham City 34.83%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.73% (-0.02)
Total : 39.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.18%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.09% (+0.01)
Total : 34.83%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Paik Seung-ho 55' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+6' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Gabriel Sara 55' goal
  • Jon Rowe 60' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 83'
Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Marcelino Nunez 27' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 36' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 90'+4' goal
  • goal Maxime Colin 53'
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Scott Hogan 50' goal
  • goal Andrew Omobamidele 63'
  • goal Onel Hernandez 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
ET Carrow Road
  • Jordan Hugill 19' yellowcard
  • Danel Sinani 45'+1' goal
  • Jacob Sorensen 45'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 11'
  • goal Jonathan Leko 53'
  • yellowcard Maxime Colin 71'
  • goal Jonathan Tomkinson 79' (OG)