Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.