Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.