Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Marvin Ducksch 48' goal
  • Carlos Vicente 64' yellowcard
  • August Priske 64' yellowcard
  • August Priske 65' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 65' yellowcard
  • Seung-ho Paik 72' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Osman 72' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 84' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Targett 13'
  • goal Matt Targett 26'
  • goal David Strelec 60'
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 61'
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 74'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbert 90'+1'

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 46.62% (-0.11)
Draw 25.37% (+0.04)
Middlesbrough 28.01% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.45% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.55% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.77% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.23% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.66% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.34% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.95% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.05% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 35.2%
Draw 41.23%
Middlesbrough 23.57%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 54.67% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.82% (+0.03)
Middlesbrough 38.51% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.45%
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 25.6%
Over 9 51.77%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 36.55%
Over 10.5 40.36%
Under 10.5 59.64%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 45.09% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.91% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.13% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 79.87% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.99% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.01% (+0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.87% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.96% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.57% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.94%
Under 3.5 97.06%

Score analysis

Birmingham City 46.61%
Draw 25.36%
Middlesbrough 28.01%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.83% (-0.05)
Total : 46.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 4.11% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.01%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Riley McGree 17'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 23'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 26' yellowcard
  • Lukas Engel 30' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 58' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 88' goal
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 40'
  • yellowcard John Ruddy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Manny Longelo 71'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Tahith Chong 74' goal
  • goal Matt Crooks 57'
  • goal Matt Crooks 59'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 85'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 23' goal
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kristian Pedersen 40' yellowcard
  • Onel Hernandez 80' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 86' redcard
  • goal Aaron Connolly 23'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 62'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 90'