Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.