Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
The Den

Millwall vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Norwich 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 33.27% and a draw has a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Millwall 33.27% (+0.06)
Draw 26.39% (+0.06)
Birmingham City 40.37% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.18% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.48% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 49.52% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.22% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 70.78% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.56% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 83.44% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Millwall 26.82% (+0.02)
Draw 44.84%
Birmingham City 28.34% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Millwall 44.08% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.34% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 48.58% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.75% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.79% (-0.07)
Under 8 29.46% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.62% (+0.10)
Equal 9 12.13% (-0.06)
Under 9 41.25% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 35.24% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 64.76% (-0.15)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 34.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.74% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.61% (-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.15% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.85% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.86% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 83.14% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.88% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.12% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Millwall 33.26%
Draw 26.4%
Birmingham City 40.38%
Millwall
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.5% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.09% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.23% (+0.02)
Total : 33.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.4%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 9.57% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.72% (-0.07)
Total : 40.38%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 64' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 87' yellowcard
  • Japhet Tanganga 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Juninho Bacuna 46' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 53' goal
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 6'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 57'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 59'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 28'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juninho Bacuna 47' goal
  • Marc Roberts 52' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 54' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 79' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 86' yellowcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Saville 25'
  • goal Oliver Burke 68'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 72'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 74'
  • goal Benik Afobe 90'+8'