Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Riley McGree 45'+2' goal
  • David Strelec 66' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 66' yellowcard
  • Dael Fry 83' yellowcard
  • goal Caleb Okoli 18'
  • yellowcard Issahaku Fatawu 62'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ayew 62'
  • yellowcard Issahaku Fatawu 63'
  • yellowcard Joe Aribo 76'
  • yellowcard Louis Page 88'

Middlesbrough vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 2 - 2 Leicester
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jordan James

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.55%) and 2-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 60.83% (-0.08)
Draw 21.8% (+0.08)
Leicester City 17.34% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.95% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.11% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 21.89% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 54.65% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 45.35% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 31.46% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 68.54% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 19.16% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 80.84% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 45.98%
Draw 37.6%
Leicester City 16.41%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 67.63% (-0.07)
No Goal 5.58% (+0.07)
Leicester City 26.79%

Corners

Over 8 65.57% (-0.14)
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 24.1% (+0.14)
Over 9 54.38% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.03)
Under 9 34.43% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 43.25% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 56.75% (+0.08)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 56.65% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 43.35% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 29.77% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 70.23% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 12.4% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 87.6% (+0.17)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 53.54% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.46% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.93% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 79.07% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 5.84% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 94.16% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.37% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.63% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 60.82%
Draw 21.79%
Leicester City 17.34%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.11% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.55%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.99% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 12.33% (-0.17)
Total : 60.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.58% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 21.79%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 5.15% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Total : 17.34%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT King Power Stadium
  • Wout Faes 60' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 85' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 3'
  • goal Finn Azaz 24'
  • goal Sam Silvera 37'
  • yellowcard Tom Glover 59'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 81'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 42' yellowcard
  • Sam Greenwood 83' goal
  • Jonny Howson 85' yellowcard
  • Isaiah Jones 88' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 12'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 43'
  • yellowcard Hamza Choudhury 82'
Premier League
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gaston Ramirez 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Clayton 92' yellowcard
Premier League
Nov 26, 2016 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marc Albrighton 29' yellowcard
  • Riyad Mahrez 35' goal
  • Christian Fuchs 37' yellowcard
  • Daniel Amartey 51' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 65' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 94' goal
  • goal Alvaro Negredo 13'
  • yellowcard Calum Chambers 31'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Negredo 34'
  • goal Alvaro Negredo 71'
  • yellowcard Victor Valdes 91'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 94'
Championship
Jan 25, 2014 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamie Vardy 52' goal
  • Richie de Laet 73' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 72'