Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.55%) and 2-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.