Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Estrela Amadora
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Jovane Cabral 62' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 65' yellowcard
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 76' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Encada 76' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 77' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 77' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Encada 77' yellowcard
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 77' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 46'
  • goal Daniel Bragança 59'
  • yellowcard Geovany Quenda 66'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 67'
  • yellowcard Geovany Quenda 67'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 90'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 90'+6'

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.01% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 15.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 62.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.94%
Over 4.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 19.83%
Draw 37.65%
Sporting Lisbon 42.53%

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 28.26% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 64.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.89%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 34.4%
Over 9 42.32%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 46.11%
Over 10.5 31.81%
Under 10.5 68.19%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 17.96%
Under 1.5 82.04%
Over 2.5 5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.24%
Under 3.5 98.76%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 83.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 44.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 29.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 70.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 15.28%
Draw 22.01%
Sporting Lisbon 62.69%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 15.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.01%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 13.14% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 62.69%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 30, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Estrela Amadora
  • Eduardo Quaresma 7' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 11' goal
  • Ivan Fresneda 25' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 27' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 54' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Guilherme Montoia 21' yellowcard
  • Manuel Keliano 24' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Montoia 34' redcard
  • Alan Ruiz 47' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 53' yellowcard
  • Ferro 55' yellowcard
  • Ruben Lima 87' redcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 52'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 66'
  • goal Geovany Tcherno Quenda 81'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 1, 2024 8.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estrela Amadora
  • Viktor Gyokeres 19' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 4'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 35'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 41'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 44'
  • yellowcard Ferro 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Sporting Lisbon
  • Leonel Bucca 16' goal
  • Leo Cordeiro 31' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 37' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 22'
  • goal Paulinho 23'
  • goal Nuno Santos 40'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Estrela Amadora
  • Daniel Braganca 33' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 71' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 79' goal
  • goal Leo Jaba 50'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Kikas 66'

Form Data

Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 4 - 0 Casa Pia
Rio Ave 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 2 Santa Clara
Alverca 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 0 Bodo/Glimt
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 0 Sporting Lisbon