/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Tiago Manso
38'
-
Makan Aïko
60'
-
Yaya Sithole
61'
-
Makan Aïko
61'
-
B. Kimpioka
76'
-
Pablo Ruan
14'
-
Jesús Ramírez
22'
-
Brayan Medina
31'
(OG)
-
André Sousa
78'
-
João Aurélio
90'+1'
-
Joel Silva
90'+1'
-
João Aurélio
90'+2'
-
Joel Silva
90'+2'
Tondela vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F01%2Ftiago-margarido.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 30.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result
Tondela
37.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
30.01%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional
32.38%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
45.06%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 1.5
64.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
35.69%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
39.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
60.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
19.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
9.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
90.18%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Tondela
27.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
48.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Nacional
24.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Tondela
44.49%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
11.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Nacional
43.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
54.14%
▼
(-0.34)
Equal 8
11.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
34.09%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 9
42.48%
▼
(-0.32)
Equal 9
11.66%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
45.86%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 10.5
31.88%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 10.5
68.12%
▲
(+0.25)
Tondela Goals
Over 1.5
31.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
68.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
11.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
88.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
3.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
62.93%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
37.07%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
28.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
71.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
9.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
90.52%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
2.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
97.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Tondela
37.61%
Draw
30%
Nacional
32.38%
Tondela
1-0
@
12.67%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.61%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.78%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30%
0-0 @ 11.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30%
Nacional
0-1
@
11.1%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.38%
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.38%
Head to Head
Nuno Borges
85'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
24
-
Daniel Guimaraes
21'
-
Brayan Riascos
36'
-
Fernando Tissone
62'
-
Vitor Goncalves
83'
-
Kalindi
89'
-
Tomane
22'
-
Bruno Monteiro
35'
-
Joao Jaquite
61'
-
Fahd Moufi
66'
-
Joao Pedro
79'
-
Pite
90'