/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Filipe Soares
63'
-
Jesús Ramírez
67'
-
Matheus Dias
87'
-
Pablo Ruan
90'+3'
-
João Aurélio
90'+3'
-
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
46'
-
Mathis Clairicia
75'
-
Marko Milovanović
75'
-
Vasco Moreira
75'
-
Marko Milovanović
77'
-
Vasco Moreira
77'
-
Zakaria Kessary
88'
Nacional vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Alverca win was 1-2 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
40.02%
Draw
26.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Alverca
33.53%
Both Teams to Score:
56.37%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.52%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
24.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
51.55%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
48.45%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
29.01%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
70.99%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
15.84%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
84.16%
▼
(-0.08)
First Half Winner
Nacional
30.89%
Draw
41.92%
Alverca
27.19%
Team To Score First
Nacional
48.26%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Alverca
44.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
61.15%
Equal 8
11.37%
Under 8
27.48%
Over 9
49.24%
Equal 9
11.91%
Under 9
38.85%
Over 10.5
37.83%
Under 10.5
62.17%
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
40.08%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
59.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
16.77%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
83.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
5.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5
68.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
31.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
35.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
64.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
13.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
86.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
4.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
95.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Nacional
40.02%
Draw
26.42%
Alverca
33.54%
Nacional
1-0
@
9.45%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.02%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.02%
Draw
1-1
@
12.47%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.42%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.42%
Alverca
1-2
@
8.31%
0-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.54%
0-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.54%