Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.30pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Alverca has a probability of 28.68% and a draw has a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Alverca win is 0-1 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Rio Ave 43.66%
Draw 27.63% (-0.04)
Alverca 28.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.93% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.01% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.99% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 31.52%
Draw 41.37%
Alverca 27.11%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 48.7%
No Goal 9.58% (-0.01)
Alverca 41.72% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.58%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 27.84%
Over 9 48.5%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 39.42%
Over 10.5 37.01%
Under 10.5 62.99%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 38.45% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.02% (-0.03)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 61.09%
Under 0.5 38.91%
Over 1.5 27.51% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.49% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.54% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.46% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 43.65%
Draw 27.64%
Alverca 28.67%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.86% (+0.03)
Total : 43.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.64%
Alverca
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.76% (+0.01)
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 8, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Nov 23, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Ageu 28' yellowcard
  • Alysson Cristian Oliveira Silva 39' goal
  • Thauan Lara 41' yellowcard
  • Anthony Carter 46' goal
  • Alysson Cristian Oliveira Silva 66' yellowcard
  • Thauan Lara 83' redcard
  • Karem Zoabi 111' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Jorge dos Santos Dias 114' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tobias Medina 39'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 52'
  • yellowcard Kiko Bondoso 53'
  • goal Karem Zoabi 88'
  • goal Clayton 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Karem Zoabi 117'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Jorge dos Santos Dias 120'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick 120'+1'