Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.