Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Alverca
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 8.45pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Benfica
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw has a probability of 27.69% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (9.01%).

Result

Alverca 46.5% (-0.04)
Draw 27.69%
Casa Pia 25.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.22% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.78% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.19%
Under 3.5 78.81%
Over 4.5 10.97%
Under 4.5 89.03%

First Half Winner

Alverca 32.3%
Draw 45.61%
Casa Pia 22.1%

Team To Score First

Alverca 51.31%
No Goal 9.88%
Casa Pia 38.81%

Corners

Over 8 43.42%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 44.23%
Over 9 32.19%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 56.58%
Over 10.5 22.8%
Under 10.5 77.2%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 39.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.24%
Under 3.5 94.76%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 58.33%
Under 0.5 41.67%
Over 1.5 23.93%
Under 1.5 76.07%
Over 2.5 7.44%
Under 2.5 92.56%
Over 3.5 1.85%
Under 3.5 98.15%

Score analysis

Alverca 46.5%
Draw 27.69%
Casa Pia 25.78%
Alverca
1-0 @ 13.45% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.69%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cassiano 43' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Patrick Sequeira 45'+3' redcard
  • Andre Geraldes 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bastien Meupiyou 50'
  • goal Lincoln 76'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 90'+6'
  • goal Marko Milovanovic 90'+9'