Primeira Liga
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Figueiredo 49' goal
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 63' goal
  • Marko Milovanović 75' yellowcard
  • Rhaldney 83' goal
  • Vasco Moreira 87' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 87' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Kessary 90' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Kessary 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal João Marques 1'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 58'
  • yellowcard Dailon Livramento 68'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 69'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 69'
  • yellowcard André Geraldes 82'
  • yellowcard André Geraldes 83'

Alverca vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Alverca
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 8.45pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Benfica
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.69% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 46.63% (+0.08)
Draw 27.69% (+0.05)
Casa Pia 25.68% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.79% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 32.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 42.19% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 57.81% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.16% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.84% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.96% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.04% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Alverca 32.3%
Draw 45.61%
Casa Pia 22.1%

Team To Score First

Alverca 51.31% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.89% (+0.05)
Casa Pia 38.8% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 43.42%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 44.23%
Over 9 32.19%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 56.58%
Over 10.5 22.8%
Under 10.5 77.2%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 39.87% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.13% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.25%
Under 3.5 94.75%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 58.22% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.78% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 23.84% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.16% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 7.4% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.6% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.84% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.16% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Alverca 46.64%
Draw 27.69%
Casa Pia 25.68%
Alverca
1-0 @ 13.49% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.03% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 46.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.89% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.69%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Total : 25.68%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cassiano 43' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Patrick Sequeira 45'+3' redcard
  • Andre Geraldes 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bastien Meupiyou 50'
  • goal Lincoln 76'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 90'+6'
  • goal Marko Milovanovic 90'+9'