/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
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Alan Varela
39'
-
Alan Varela
40'
-
Pablo Rosario
46'
-
Gabri Veiga
46'
-
Gabri Veiga
48'
-
Thiago Silva
62'
-
Thiago Silva
63'
-
Victor Froholdt
65'
-
William Gomes
70'
-
Seko Fofana
88'
-
Moudjatovic
63'
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Yaya Sithole
63'
-
Makan Aïko
63'
-
Yaya Sithole
64'
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João Afonso
70'
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Arjen van der Heide
70'
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Hugo Félix
78'
Porto vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.53% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 7.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.27%) , while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood.
Result
Porto
73.86%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
18.53%
▲
(+0.14)
Tondela
7.62%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
36.28%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.27%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
27.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
48%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
52%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
26.49%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
73.51%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 4.5
18.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
81.72%
▲
(+0.21)
First Half Winner
Porto
57.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
32.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Tondela
10.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Porto
73.82%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
8.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Tondela
17.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
49.65%
▲
(+0.38)
Equal 8
13.19%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 8
37.16%
▼
(-0.45)
Over 9
37.01%
▲
(+0.27)
Equal 9
12.64%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 9
50.35%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 10.5
26.03%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 10.5
73.97%
▼
(-0.16)
Porto Goals
Over 1.5
60.65%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
39.35%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 2.5
34.49%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
65.51%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
15.78%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
84.22%
▲
(+0.22)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5
33.77%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
66.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
8.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
91.74%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
1.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
98.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
0.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
99.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Porto
73.87%
Draw
18.54%
Tondela
7.63%
Porto
1-0
@
15.95%
▲
(+0.10)
2-0 @ 15.39% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 15.77% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 73.87%
2-0 @ 15.39% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 15.77% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 73.87%
Draw
0-0
@
8.27%
▲
(+0.06)
1-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.54%
1-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.54%
Tondela
0-1
@
3.55%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 7.63%
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 7.63%
Manu Hernando
66'