Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 1 - 3 Porto
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 8.15pm
Tondela 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Maranhão

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 74.02%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 7.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (8.21%) , while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (3.51%).

Result

Porto 74.02% (+0.57)
Draw 18.4% (+0.08)
Tondela 7.56% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.42% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.44% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 27.56% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 48.3% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 51.7% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 26.75% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.25% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 18.49% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 81.51% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Porto 57.17% (+3.86)
Draw 32.09% (-1.19)
Tondela 10.74% (-2.67)

Team To Score First

Porto 73.85% (+2.66)
No Goal 8.21% (+0.41)
Tondela 17.94% (-3.06)

Corners

Over 8 49.27% (+0.72)
Equal 8 13.12% (+0.38)
Under 8 37.6% (-1.11)
Over 9 36.74% (+0.25)
Equal 9 12.53% (+0.46)
Under 9 50.73% (-0.72)
Over 10.5 25.89% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 74.12% (+0.18)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 60.93% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 39.07% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 34.77% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 65.23% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 16% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 84% (-0.21)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 33.69% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 66.31% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 8.24% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 91.76% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 1.2% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 98.8% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 0.16% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 99.84% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Porto 74.04%
Draw 18.41%
Tondela 7.56%
Porto
1-0 @ 15.85% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 15.36% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 10.91% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 15.99% (+0.21)
Total : 74.04%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.41)
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.16% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.41%
Tondela
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 2.13% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.09)
Total : 7.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 7, 2025 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sphephelo Sithole 39' yellowcard
  • Tiago Miguel Silva Manso 60' yellowcard
  • Tiago Miguel Silva Manso 61' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'
  • goal William Gomes Carvalho Santos 49'
  • yellowcard Francisco Moura 90'+1'
Portuguese Super Cup
Jul 30, 2022 8.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mehdi Taremi 30' goal
  • Evanilson 33' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 60' yellowcard
  • Marko Grujic 64' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 82' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 37'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 63'
Taca de Portugal
May 22, 2022 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nacional
  • Mehdi Taremi 22' goal
  • Vitinha 52' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 74' goal
  • Marko Grujic 77' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 17'
  • goal Neto Borges 73'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wendell 36' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 45' goal
  • Galeno 73' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 76' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 79' goal
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 3'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 33'
  • redcard Manu Hernando 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Neto Borges 4' goal
  • Modibo Sagnan 11' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 23' yellowcard
  • Iker Undabarrena 28' redcard
  • yellowcard Evanilson 14'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 19'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 43'
  • yellowcard Mateus Uribe 44'
  • yellowcard Pepe 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 73'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 79'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 10, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jaume Grau 39' yellowcard
  • Abdel Medioub 48' yellowcard
  • Bebeto 58' yellowcard
  • Enzo Martinez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard Otavio 60'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 83'