Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 22, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 3 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Porto has a probability of 31.67% and a draw has a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Porto win is 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).

Result

Braga 42.43%
Draw 25.89% (+0.24)
Porto 31.67% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.64% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.56% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 23.44% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 52.92% (-1.16)
Under 2.5 47.08% (+1.16)
Over 3.5 30.4% (-1.21)
Under 3.5 69.6% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 17.3% (-0.94)
Under 4.5 82.7% (+0.94)

First Half Winner

Braga 34.48%
Draw 39.07%
Porto 26.45%

Team To Score First

Braga 52.39% (-0.15)
No Goal 6.68% (+0.27)
Porto 40.93% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 41.92% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 45.99% (-0.01)
Over 9 31.04%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 58.08% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 22.04% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 77.97%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 42.87% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 57.13% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 18.83% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 81.17% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 7.08% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.92% (+0.33)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 66.77% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 33.23% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 34.1% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 65.9% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 13.32% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 86.68% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 4.22% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 95.78% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Braga 42.43%
Draw 25.89%
Porto 31.68%
Braga
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.05% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.86% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.65% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.12)
Other @ 6.81% (-0.32)
Total : 42.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 25.89%
Porto
0-1 @ 7.53% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.30)
Total : 31.68%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 17' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 88' yellowcard
  • Tiago Sa 90' redcard
  • Francisco Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 6'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Borges 9'
  • yellowcard Martim Fernandes 15'
  • yellowcard Otavio 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Samu Omorodion 3' goal
  • Vitor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes 11' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 19' yellowcard
  • Galeno 45'+1' goal
  • Vitor Carvalho 47' yellowcard
  • Pepe 59' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 43'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 54'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Victor Gomez 8' yellowcard
  • Victor Gomez 12' redcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 13' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 31'
  • goal Galeno 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Fabio Cardoso 12' goal
  • Pepe 25' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 49' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 62' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 66' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 26'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 79'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Djalo 82'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'+1'
Taca de Portugal
Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • goal Andre Horta 53' (OG)
  • goal Otavio 81'