Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.