Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Deniz Undav

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 34.73% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Mainz 05 34.73% (-0.04)
Draw 24.69% (-0.03)
Stuttgart 40.58% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.03% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.99% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.01% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.27% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.96% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.04% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 26.9%
Draw 40.81%
Stuttgart 32.29%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 41.92%
No Goal 5.93% (-0.02)
Stuttgart 52.15% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.58% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.12% (-0.02)
Under 8 32.31% (+0.04)
Over 9 43.43%
Equal 9 12.15% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.42% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 32.3% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.7% (-0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 37.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.6% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.22% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.78% (+0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 73.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.63% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.25% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.75% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.87% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.13% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.98% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.02% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 34.71%
Draw 24.68%
Stuttgart 40.59%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Total : 34.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.68%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.75% (+0.05)
Total : 40.59%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 29, 2025 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Kaishu Sano 16' yellowcard
  • Kaishu Sano 16' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 29' goal
  • Nelson Weiper 29' goal
  • Nelson Weiper 36' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 36' yellowcard
  • Robin Zentner 41' yellowcard
  • Robin Zentner 41' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Caci 86' goal
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 57'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 57'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 68'
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Enzo Millot 8' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 15' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Chabot 53' yellowcard
  • Enzo Millot 57' yellowcard
  • Josha Vagnomann 84' yellowcard
  • Fabian Rieder 88' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 43'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 62'
  • yellowcard Lasse Riess 71'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 79'
  • goal Maxim Leitsch 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 45'+2' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 45'+4' goal
  • Deniz Undav 73' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 76'
  • yellowcard Josuha Guilavogui 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Anthony Caci 11' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 69' goal
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 56'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 60'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 67'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 84'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 90'+7'