Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.73% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.