Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 1 - 2 Porto

Stuttgart

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 1 - 2 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Stuttgart has a probability of 24.64% and a draw has a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Stuttgart win is 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Porto 52.59% (+0.77)
Draw 22.77% (-0.25)
Stuttgart 24.64% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.96% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.25% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 20.75% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 56.86% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 43.14% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 33.42% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 66.58% (-1.30)
Over 4.5 20.54% (+1.20)
Under 4.5 79.46% (-1.21)

First Half Winner

Porto 37.83% (-0.43)
Draw 37.08% (+0.11)
Stuttgart 25.09% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Porto 55.58% (-0.78)
No Goal 5.51% (-0.24)
Stuttgart 38.91% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 45.63% (-1.93)
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.25)
Under 8 42.36% (+2.18)
Over 9 34.5% (-1.54)
Equal 9 11.13% (-0.39)
Under 9 54.37% (+1.93)
Over 10.5 25% (-1.08)
Under 10.5 75% (+1.08)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 51.78% (+1.32)
Under 1.5 48.22% (-1.32)
Over 2.5 26.46% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 73.54% (-1.30)
Over 3.5 11.12% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 88.88% (-0.89)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 60.24% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 39.76% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 28.68% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.32% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.22% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 89.78% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 3.35% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.65% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Porto 52.59%
Draw 22.77%
Stuttgart 24.64%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.58% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.11)
Other @ 10.96% (+0.82)
Total : 52.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.08)
Total : 22.77%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.19% (+0.05)
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MHPArena
  • Deniz Undav 40' goal
  • Tiago Tomás 63' yellowcard
  • Luca Jaquez 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Chris Führich 70' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 84' yellowcard
  • goal Terem Moffi 21'
  • goal Rodrigo Mora 27'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 59'
  • yellowcard Pepê 59'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 59'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 70'
  • yellowcard William Gomes 70'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 80'