Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.