Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • William Gomes 21' goal
  • Victor Froholdt 46' yellowcard
  • Jakub Kiwior 58' yellowcard
  • Pepê 58' yellowcard
  • Martim Fernandes 66' yellowcard
  • Victor Froholdt 72' goal
  • Alan Varela 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomás 61'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Nartey 62'
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomás 62'
  • yellowcard Badredine Bouanani 78'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 78'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 79'
  • yellowcard Badredine Bouanani 79'
  • yellowcard Chema Andrés 79'

Porto vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 1 - 2 Porto

Stuttgart

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 1 - 2 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Porto 52.53% (-0.04)
Draw 22.8% (+0.04)
Stuttgart 24.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.9% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.44% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 66.56% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.54% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.46% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Porto 37.83%
Draw 37.08%
Stuttgart 25.09%

Team To Score First

Porto 55.58% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.51% (+0.01)
Stuttgart 38.91%

Corners

Over 8 45.55% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.52% (-0.50)
Under 8 42.93% (+0.58)
Over 9 34.87% (+0.37)
Equal 9 10.68% (-0.46)
Under 9 54.45% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 25.72% (+0.72)
Under 10.5 74.28% (-0.72)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 51.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.26% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 26.41% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.59% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 11.09% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.91% (+0.04)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 60.36% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 39.64% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.78% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.22% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.27% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.37% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Porto 52.52%
Draw 22.79%
Stuttgart 24.75%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.39% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.3% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.93% (-0.05)
Total : 52.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.79%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Total : 24.75%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MHPArena
  • Deniz Undav 40' goal
  • Tiago Tomás 63' yellowcard
  • Luca Jaquez 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Chris Führich 70' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 84' yellowcard
  • goal Terem Moffi 21'
  • goal Rodrigo Mora 27'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 59'
  • yellowcard Pepê 59'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 59'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 70'
  • yellowcard William Gomes 70'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 80'