Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Stuttgart
Mar 15, 2026 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT MHPArena
RB Leipzig
  • Deniz Undav 56' goal
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 68' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Nartey 69' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomás 69' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 81' yellowcard
  • Chema Andrés 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 64'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 71'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 71'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 71'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 72'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 88'

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Deniz Undav

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Christoph Baumgartner

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Stuttgart 47.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 22.36% ▼ (-0.04)
RB Leipzig 30.47% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.61% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.1% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 15.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 35.54% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 42.46% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 57.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 26.55% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 73.45% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 36.74%
Draw 37.06%
RB Leipzig 26.2%

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 53.42% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
RB Leipzig 42.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.27%
Equal 8 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.41%
Over 9 46.7%
Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.73%
Over 10.5 35.83%
Under 10.5 64.17%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 52.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 47.45% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 27.13% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 72.87% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 11.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 88.53% ▼ (-0.11)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 16.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 83.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 47.15%
Draw 22.37%
RB Leipzig 30.46%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74%
Other @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 47.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.37%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 30.46%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Nov 1, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Stuttgart
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
RB Leipzig
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart
  • Xavi Simons 8' goal
  • Tidiam Gomis 33' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 44' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 23'
  • goal Nick Woltemade 57'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 78'
DFB-Pokal
Stuttgart
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Angelo Stiller 5' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 57' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 73' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 36'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 62'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 73'
  • yellowcard 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Stuttgart
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Deniz Undav 5' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 50' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 60' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 83' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 10'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Sesko 20'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 70'
  • redcard Benjamin Sesko 85'
  • yellowcard David Raum 86'
  • redcard Lois Openda 88'
  • yellowcard El Chadaille Bitshiabu 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Enzo Millot 25' goal
  • Deniz Undav 30' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 48' goal
  • Deniz Undav 56' goal
  • Waldemar Anton 69' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 75' goal
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 16'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 32'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 42'
  • goal Lois Openda 55'
  • yellowcard David Raum 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
Aug 25, 2023 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart
  • Benjamin Henrichs 51' goal
  • Marco Rose 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 63' goal
  • Lois Openda 66' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 74' goal
  • Xavi Simons 76' goal
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 35'
  • yellowcard Lilian Egloff 65'

Form Data

Stuttgart 1 - 2 Porto
Mainz 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Stuttgart 0 - 1 Celtic
Heidenheim 3 - 3 Stuttgart
Celtic 1 - 4 Stuttgart
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Augsburg
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Dortmund
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Bayern 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
FC Koln 1 - 2 RB Leipzig