Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.86% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%) , while for a Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.