Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Feb 15, 2026 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Maarten Vandevoordt 29' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 63' yellowcard
  • Romulo Cardoso 63' yellowcard
  • Ridle Baku 63' yellowcard
  • Rômulo 63' yellowcard
  • Yan Diomande 70' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 82' yellowcard
  • Johan Bakayoko 82' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 88' goal
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 52'
  • goal Mohamed Amoura 52'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 60'
  • goal Mattias Svanberg 78'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Koulierakis 83'
  • yellowcard Dzenan Pejcinovic 84'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Koulierakis 84'
  • yellowcard Jonas Adjei Adjetey 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jonas Adjetey 90'+5'

RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Christoph Baumgartner

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.8%) and 1-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 54.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 20.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Wolfsburg 24.88% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.09% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.43% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 13.57% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 68.5% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 31.5% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 46.01% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 53.99% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 30.35% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 69.65% ▲ (+0.41)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 46.52% ▲ (+0.93)
Draw 33.25% ▼ (-0.69)
Wolfsburg 20.22% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 60.15% ▲ (+0.29)
No Goal 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Wolfsburg 36.69% ▼ (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 72.17% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 9.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 18.7% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 61.71% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 10.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 27.83% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 10.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 10.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.35)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 59.77% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 40.23% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 34.67% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 65.33% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 15.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 84.14% ▲ (+0.15)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 36.94% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 34.18% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 65.82% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 14.3% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 85.7% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 54.66%
Draw 20.5%
Wolfsburg 24.88%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 15.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 54.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.5%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.88%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
RB Leipzig
  • Yannick Gerhardt 34' yellowcard
  • Kilian Fischer 58' goal
  • Kilian Fischer 60' yellowcard
  • Andreas Skov Olsen 75' goal
  • goal Lois Openda 11'
  • goal Xavi Simons 26'
  • yellowcard El Chadaille Bitshiabu 36'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 36'
  • goal Xavi Simons 49'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 76'
DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Benjamin Sesko 69' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 82' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara 86' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 67'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Christoph Baumgartner 26' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 52' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 82' goal
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 4'
  • goal Tiago Tomas 5'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 16'
  • yellowcard Kilian Fischer 57'
  • goal Joakim Maehle 64'
  • goal Kevin Behrens 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Wolfsburg
  • Dani Olmo 13' goal
  • Marco Rose 26' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 27' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 68' goal
  • Lois Openda 82' goal
  • Xavi Simons 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 25'
  • yellowcard Kilian Fischer 25'
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 35'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Wolfsburg
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
RB Leipzig
  • Jonas Wind 9' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 35' yellowcard
  • Cedric Zesiger 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 59' yellowcard
  • Rogerio 66' goal
  • Koen Casteels 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 33'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 34'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 52'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 79'

Form Data

Bayern 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
FC Koln 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
St Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Heidenheim 0 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Dortmund
FC Koln 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Mainz 3 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg