Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.