Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.36% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.23%) and 0-2 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.