Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.34% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.