Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2026 6.45pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.30pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 34.89% and a draw has a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arouca win is 2-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Arouca 34.89% (+0.08)
Draw 24.84% (+0.04)
Estoril Praia 40.27% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.02% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.41% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 20.59% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 57.03% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 42.97% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 34.06% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 65.94% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 19.51% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 80.49% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.72%
Draw 40.78%
Estoril Praia 31.5%

Team To Score First

Arouca 41.26% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.46% (+0.05)
Estoril Praia 53.28% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.48% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.64% (+0.05)
Under 8 27.87% (+0.07)
Over 9 48.34% (-0.14)
Equal 9 12.15% (+0.04)
Under 9 39.52% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 36.78% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 63.22% (+0.16)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 38.93% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.07% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.18% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.07)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 74.44% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 25.56% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 43.38% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 56.62% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 19.03% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 80.97% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.7% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.3% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Arouca 34.89%
Draw 24.84%
Estoril Praia 40.27%
Arouca
2-1 @ 8.14% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.3% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.23% (-0.04)
Total : 34.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.03)
Total : 24.84%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.45% (-0.11)
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 7, 2025 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 13' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 67'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Fabricio Garcia 21' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 30' goal
  • Pedro Amaral 40' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 42' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 64' goal
  • Joel Robles 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 90' goal
  • Michel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Araujo 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 36'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Rafik Guitane 3' goal
  • Joao Marques 50' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mujica 8'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 50'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Tiago Esgaio 4' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 10' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 20' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 21' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 37' redcard
  • Cristo 57' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 73' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+6' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 41'
  • goal Joao Marques 49'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Gomes 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Joao Carvalho 68' goal
  • Cassiano 90'+4' goal