Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Arouca
Apr 6, 2026 6.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Iván Barbero 13' goal
  • José Fontán 45'+2' goal
  • Pablo Gozálbez 55' goal
  • Miguel Puche 77' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 83' yellowcard
  • Mateo Flores 90' yellowcard
  • Fally Mayulu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Xeka 3'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 32'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marqués 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Carvalho 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marqués 66'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 66'
  • yellowcard Peixinho 74'

Arouca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.30pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Arouca win was 2-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 34.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.84%
Estoril Praia 40.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.48% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.72%
Draw 40.78%
Estoril Praia 31.5%

Team To Score First

Arouca 41.26%
No Goal 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Estoril Praia 53.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.48%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 27.87%
Over 9 48.34%
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 39.52%
Over 10.5 36.78%
Under 10.5 63.22%

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 38.93%
Under 1.5 61.07%
Over 2.5 16.18%
Under 2.5 83.82%
Over 3.5 5.48%
Under 3.5 94.52%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 74.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.7%
Under 3.5 93.3%

Score analysis

Arouca 34.85%
Draw 24.85%
Estoril Praia 40.27%
Arouca
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.85%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.45%
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Estoril
Nov 7, 2025 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Arouca
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Arouca
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Morlaye Sylla 13' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 67'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Estoril
Oct 26, 2024 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
  • Fabricio Garcia 21' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 30' goal
  • Pedro Amaral 40' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 42' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 64' goal
  • Joel Robles 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 90' goal
  • Michel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Araujo 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 36'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Estoril
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
  • Rafik Guitane 3' goal
  • Joao Marques 50' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mujica 8'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 50'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Tiago Esgaio 4' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 10' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 20' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 21' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 37' redcard
  • Cristo 57' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 73' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+6' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 41'
  • goal Joao Marques 49'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Gomes 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Estoril
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
  • Joao Carvalho 68' goal
  • Cassiano 90'+4' goal

Form Data

Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 2 Benfica
Famalicao 1 - 0 Arouca
Porto 3 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 3 - 0 Nacional
Casa Pia 3 - 2 Arouca
Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Estoril 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
AVS 3 - 0 Estoril