Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Jimi Gower 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 59' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 75' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Alonso Martín 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 53'
  • goal Miguel Puche 67'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 73'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 86'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 86'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 86'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 86'

Moreirense vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 3 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 8.30pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Moreirense 42.25%
Draw 25.27%
Arouca 32.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.69%
Under 1.5 23.31%
Over 2.5 53.35%
Under 2.5 46.65%
Over 3.5 30.94% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.06% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.83% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.17% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 30.11%
Draw 42.94%
Arouca 26.95%

Team To Score First

Moreirense 48.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.45% (+0.01)
Arouca 45.39%

Corners

Over 8 48.32%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 39.53%
Over 9 36.82%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 51.68%
Over 10.5 26.82%
Under 10.5 73.18%

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 42.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.23% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.82% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.65% (+0.04)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 67.16% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.84% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.52%
Under 2.5 86.48%
Over 3.5 4.29%
Under 3.5 95.71%

Score analysis

Moreirense 42.25%
Draw 25.27%
Arouca 32.49%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.56% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 7.13% (-0.04)
Total : 42.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.27%
Arouca
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Taichi Fukui 41' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 54' yellowcard
  • Jason 77' goal
  • redcard 50'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Luis Nlavo 9' goal
  • Alan 45'+2' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 59' yellowcard
  • Madson 65' goal
  • goal David Simao 3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Quaresma 74'
  • yellowcard Chico Faria Camara Lamba 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Hernani Infande 10' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 19'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 46' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 39'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Antonisse 76'
  • redcard Jeremy Antonisse 89'
Taca da Liga
Dec 22, 2022 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andre Luis 44' goal
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 70'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 79'