Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 32.41% and a draw has a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).