Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%).