Taca de Portugal
Apr 22, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Sporting Lisbon has a probability of 30.27% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).

Result

Porto 43.19%
Draw 26.59%
Sporting Lisbon 30.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.6%
Under 1.5 25.4%
Over 2.5 50.14%
Under 2.5 49.86%
Over 3.5 28.07%
Under 3.5 71.93%
Over 4.5 16.34%
Under 4.5 83.66%

First Half Winner

Porto 33.67%
Draw 41.86%
Sporting Lisbon 24.46%

Team To Score First

Porto 53.58%
No Goal 7.34%
Sporting Lisbon 39.08%

Corners

Over 8 47.6%
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 40.35%
Over 9 36.27%
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 52.4%
Over 10.5 26.46%
Under 10.5 73.54%

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 41.36%
Under 1.5 58.64%
Over 2.5 18.25%
Under 2.5 81.75%
Over 3.5 6.62%
Under 3.5 93.38%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 65.04%
Under 0.5 34.96%
Over 1.5 31.91%
Under 1.5 68.09%
Over 2.5 12.03%
Under 2.5 87.97%
Over 3.5 3.99%
Under 3.5 96.01%

Score analysis

Porto 43.21%
Draw 26.59%
Sporting Lisbon 30.27%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 6.33%
Total : 43.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.59%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 30.27%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Luis Suárez 62' yellowcard
  • João Simões 66' yellowcard
  • Pedro Gonçalves 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 85' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 44'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 46'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 62'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 62'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 63'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 63'
  • yellowcard Oskar Pietuszewski 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Deniz Gul 46' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 46' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 63' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' goal
  • Francisco Moura 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 90'+10'
Primeira Liga
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'