Taca de Portugal
Porto
Apr 22, 2026 8.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon
  • Alan Varela 58' yellowcard
  • Pepê 71' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 71' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 11'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 51'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gonçalves 79'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 79'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gonçalves 80'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Mangas 80'

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Porto 46.23% ▲ (+3.09)
Draw 26.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Sporting Lisbon 27.29% ▼ (-2.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% ▼ (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.77% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 25.23% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 50.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 83.55% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Porto 35.47% ▲ (+1.80)
Draw 42.62% ▲ (+0.76)
Sporting Lisbon 21.91% ▼ (-2.56)

Team To Score First

Porto 57.05% ▲ (+3.47)
No Goal 7.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Sporting Lisbon 35.68% ▼ (-3.42)

Corners

Over 8 47.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 12.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 40.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 36.08% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 52.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.22)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 43.82% ▲ (+2.50)
Under 1.5 56.18% ▼ (-2.50)
Over 2.5 19.85% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 2.5 80.15% ▼ (-1.62)
Over 3.5 7.38% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 3.5 92.62% ▼ (-0.76)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 62.91% ▼ (-2.08)
Under 0.5 37.09% ▲ (+2.09)
Over 1.5 29.51% ▼ (-2.39)
Under 1.5 70.49% ▲ (+2.40)
Over 2.5 10.58% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 2.5 89.42% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 3.5 3.48% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 96.52% ▲ (+0.51)

Score analysis

Porto 46.24%
Draw 26.48%
Sporting Lisbon 27.28%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.32)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.62)
2-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.65)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.49)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.73)
Total : 46.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.48%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.46)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.59)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.39)
Other @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Porto
  • Luis Suárez 62' yellowcard
  • João Simões 66' yellowcard
  • Pedro Gonçalves 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 85' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 44'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 46'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 62'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 62'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 63'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 63'
  • yellowcard Oskar Pietuszewski 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon
  • Deniz Gul 46' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 46' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 63' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' goal
  • Francisco Moura 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 90'+10'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'

Form Data

Porto 2 - 0 Tondela
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Porto
Estoril 1 - 3 Porto
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Porto 2 - 2 Famalicao
Braga 1 - 2 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Benfica
Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 2 Santa Clara
Alverca 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon