Premier League
Newcastle
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Bournemouth
  • Kieran Trippier 46' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 62' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimarães 62' yellowcard
  • William Osula 68' goal
  • Dan Burn 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 86' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 32'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 65'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Gannon-Doak 78'
  • goal Adrien Truffert 85'
  • yellowcard Enes Ünal 89'
  • yellowcard Alex Tóth 89'

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Evanilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 41.81% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Bournemouth 33.24% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 21.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 57.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 42.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 34.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 65.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.24% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 37.42%
Draw 37.3%
Bournemouth 25.28%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 54.04% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Bournemouth 40.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 72.66%
Equal 8 9.37%
Under 8 17.96%
Over 9 61.84%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 27.34%
Over 10.5 50.44%
Under 10.5 49.56%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 21.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 78.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.83% ▼ (-0.05)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 68.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 41.81%
Draw 24.93%
Bournemouth 33.24%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.93%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.24%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Newcastle
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park
Bournemouth
Premier League
Bournemouth
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 22
Newcastle
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
Bournemouth
  • Bruno Guimaraes 25' goal
  • Joelinton 45'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 6'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 44'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 70'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 75'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 77'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 90'+2'
  • goal Milos Kerkez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Bournemouth
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Newcastle
  • Ryan Christie 13' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 37' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 88' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Gordon 76'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 89'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Newcastle
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Bournemouth
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Fabian Schar 87' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 44'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 51'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 52'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 62'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Bournemouth
Nov 11, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Newcastle
  • Lewis Cook 57' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 60' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 73' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 85'

Form Data

Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Sunderland
Barcelona 7 - 2 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 1 Barcelona
Newcastle 1 - 3 Man City
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland
West Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups