Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.31% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%) , while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4%).