Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 5.45pm
Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 1 Barcelona

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw has a probability of 18.33% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.8%) , while for a Newcastle United win it is 1-2 (3.8%).

Result

Barcelona 66.19%
Draw 18.33%
Newcastle United 15.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.75% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 66.64%
Under 2.5 33.36%
Over 3.5 46.18%
Under 3.5 53.82%
Over 4.5 31.89% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 68.11% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 45.47%
Draw 33.96%
Newcastle United 20.57%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 62.59%
No Goal 3.46%
Newcastle United 33.95%

Corners

Over 8 66.02%
Equal 8 9.03%
Under 8 24.95%
Over 9 56.19%
Equal 9 9.83%
Under 9 33.98%
Over 10.5 46.24%
Under 10.5 53.76%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 67.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.62% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 42.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.79% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.37%
Under 3.5 77.63%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 50.66%
Under 0.5 49.34%
Over 1.5 22.9% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.1% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.12%
Under 2.5 91.88%
Over 3.5 2.71%
Under 3.5 97.29%

Score analysis

Barcelona 66.19%
Draw 18.34%
Newcastle United 15.47%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89%
1-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 7.32%
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 21.97%
Total : 66.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 18.34%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 3.8%
0-1 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 15.47%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 67' yellowcard
  • Tino Livramento 67' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 67' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 86' goal
  • Joe Willock 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 70'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 70'
  • yellowcard Marc Casadó 73'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 88'
  • yellowcard Xavi Espart 88'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+6'
Champions League
Sep 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT