Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.