Conference League
Crystal Palace
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
Fiorentina
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 24' yellowcard
  • Tyrick Mitchell 31' goal
  • Yéremy Pino 65' yellowcard
  • Yéremy Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 83' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 84' yellowcard
  • Ismaïla Sarr 90' goal
  • Will Hughes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 77'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 78'
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 78'
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 82'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Puzzoli 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Fagioli 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'

Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Crystal Palace 40.81%
Draw 27.5%
Fiorentina 31.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 29.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.12%
Under 2.5 54.88%
Over 3.5 23.66%
Under 3.5 76.34%
Over 4.5 12.42%
Under 4.5 87.58%

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 30.2%
Draw 44.63%
Fiorentina 25.17%

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 49.39%
No Goal 8.84%
Fiorentina 41.77%

Corners

Over 8 48.44%
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 39.19%
Over 9 36.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 51.56%
Over 10.5 26.55%
Under 10.5 73.45%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 37.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.73%
Under 3.5 95.27%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 64.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.05%
Under 3.5 96.95%

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 40.8%
Draw 27.51%
Fiorentina 31.74%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 40.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.51%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.74%

Form Data

Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Larnaca 1 - 2 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Larnaca
Spurs 1 - 3 Crystal Palace
Man Utd 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Rakow 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Cremonese 1 - 4 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Rakow
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma

Build-up

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