Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 31.7% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 0-1 (9.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result

Crystal Palace 40.81% (+0.16)
Draw 27.5% (+0.08)
Fiorentina 31.7% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.38% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 29.62% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 45.12% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 54.88% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 23.66% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 76.34% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 12.42% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 87.58% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 30.2%
Draw 44.63%
Fiorentina 25.17%

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 49.39% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.84% (+0.09)
Fiorentina 41.77% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.44% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 39.19% (+0.12)
Over 9 36.73% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.02)
Under 9 51.56% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 26.55% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 73.45% (+0.08)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 37.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.86% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.14% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.27% (+0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 64.77% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 35.23% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 30.12% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 69.88% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 10.45% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 89.55% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.05% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.95% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 40.81%
Draw 27.5%
Fiorentina 31.7%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.16% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.61% (-0.03)
Total : 40.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.5%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.63% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.93% (-0.07)
Total : 31.7%