Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.